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Which concept is related to the planning fallacy within the human condition on uncertainty?

Excessive clarity

Limited knowledge

The concept that is related to the planning fallacy within the context of uncertainty is limited knowledge. The planning fallacy refers to the tendency for individuals to underestimate the time, costs, and risks of future actions while overestimating the benefits of those actions. This cognitive bias is closely tied to the lack of information or understanding individuals have regarding the complexities and challenges that may arise during a project.

When facing uncertainty, limited knowledge can lead to overly optimistic projections because individuals do not account for potential obstacles or the full scope of what is necessary to complete tasks. This underestimation results from gaps in expertise, insufficient data, or an incomplete understanding of the project environment.

In contrast to the correct answer, concepts like excessive clarity, overconfidence in estimates, and effective team communication may tangentially relate to planning but do not directly address the cognitive limitations regarding knowledge that fuel the planning fallacy. Thus, limited knowledge is the most appropriate concept to associate with the challenges and cognitive biases experienced in planning under uncertainty.

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Overconfidence in estimates

Effective team communication

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